Affected industries: All industries (B2B and B2C), and especially those reliant on rare earth metals and/or large amounts of energy, such as the automotive sector
Affected supply chain segments: All segments, especially full truckload (FTL), less-than truckload (LTL) and courier, express and parcel (CEP) services
What is the energy and commodity crisis?
Since 2020 shortages have become a concern that had not been relevant for supply chain managers in Europe for decades. Suddenly commodities like semiconductors or C-parts, the low-cost but essential parts of a product, such as screws or bolts, could not be supplied in time to keep lean production lines working. Shortages not only lead to higher prices, making certain businesses economically unfeasible, but are also capable of disrupting supply chains downstream.
In the past two years, problems have been further exacerbated by global events, including Brexit, the Coronavirus pandemic, and the war against Ukraine. Energy supply security has become a major topic in business and politics as the shortage of feedstock – the raw materials used to fuel machines and industrial processes – grows more acute. These energy and commodity crises have put huge movements into action, the effects of which can drastically alter current markets – governmental support for businesses requiring large amounts of energy, for instance, and the economic unfeasibility of gas-powered trucks.
4flow trend monitor
Supply chains are in constant motion – and innovation promises to speed up the rate of change. With all these developments, businesses need to know where to focus their efforts to ensure the future viability of their supply chains. The 4flow trend monitor will provide a trend outlook highlighting important developments expected to have an impact on supply chain in the next one to five years.
When will the energy and commodity crisis end?
In 2022, the trend has developed in two different directions. While the energy crisis has grown more pressing across Europe, the stress on C-parts supply chains from earlier in the year hardly presents a problem now. This expected relief depends on manufacturers’ ability to keep pace with global demand and the stability of the supply chain in Taiwan, including the reduction of wait times at seaports.
Getting ahead of the trend
Companies should observe the situation and developments carefully to align their supply chains accordingly. They should scrutinize the energy dependency not only of their supply chains, but those of their suppliers, as well, and devise contingency plans. These could include sourcing necessary materials elsewhere.
Authors
Holger Clasing
Head of Strategy Practice at
4flow consulting
Wendelin Gross
Head of
4flow research